Talk:2019 Spring Update/@comment-34918040-20190526111548/@comment-34918040-20190526235014

@ SunnyTomato:


 * "Have we taken into account that those who are getting these engines [...] have actually at least some of them already in their inventory?"

This theory has already been refuted: Asphalt 8 Myths: Cards Come to Those Who Have Them. It's still a blog entry, but i think of putting all of those (verified or debunked) Asphalt togehter on one page in the future.

Some people who still think that while it's wrong for part cards, it MUST be true for engine cards beause they want to believe it. I had no V8 or other enginges several times during the last year, but they kept coming.

Unfortunately it has become more difficult to conduct a similar experiment for engine cards, now that cars need several engines to upgrade. So it's not possible to use a single received engine immediately for an upgrade so the inventory is empty again. And I'm not sure if I'm really willing to fuse engine cards just for the sake of proving beliefs wrong of which I already know that they're wrong.


 * "Also, what are their status with their respective car upgrades situation? [..] do they need these engines to upgrade the respective cars from near stock levels?"

I love your correct use of the plural form of "status". Very rare nowadays. The answer is simple: As I have started only one year and five months ago, I still need every type of engine. If you're implying that players who need engines won't get them, you're wrong. About 3/4 of the statistical data is from me. I don't know for the other contributors.

Furthermore, if your theory was true, there would be significant deviations from the official drop rates, but there aren't. Gameloft cannot simply withhold engines from players without heavily influencing the average outcomes of common, rare and legendary cards.


 * "I think this poll can get the right picture and not just the data’s collected from merely opening boxes."

It is a good idea not to neglect possible additional conditions that might incluence the freqencies of cards. But as mentioned above, the two possibilities you suggested have already been refuted.


 * "I also understand that if one opens a huge amount of boxes, quite naturally the chances of getting these parts, engines/techs etc will eventually increase."

No, they don't. On the contrary: the more boxes are opened, the closer the average relative frequencies of cards will get to the official drop rates. This follows from the law of large numbers, but I didn't write the article for this yet.

See the following image for example. It shows the content of Random Boxes for more than a month. Instead of increasing, the values converge to the expected values.