Talk:Daily Kit Box/@comment-38363269-20190708002337/@comment-34918040-20190708012706

@ Luis Alejandro 2:

There is only 1 Tech card per Box, and (according to our observations, not officially), this card is Advanced Tech with a probability of 30 %. BUT:


 * This is an expected value within a random process, which means that there is no guarantee to get 3 AT out of 10 boxes. It is also possible to get zero AT from 10 boxes. Only in the long run, when a large number of boxes is opened, AT will make up 30 % of the Tech cards. This is called the law of large numbers.

Unfortunately, there is no guarantee that
 * a streak of no AT will immediately be "balanced" by an increased number of AT drops (this is called "gambler's fallacy", we don't have an article on that yet, but Wikipedia has one), or that
 * a small number of observations will coincide with expected values.

There is also the possibility that Gameloft has changed the internal rules of the box, but this is unlikely because in our database, we do have Daily Kit Boxes that have dropped AT since the Showdown Update.

I'm sorry to not have better news for you, but this time, it's not Gameloft's fault, but due to the random nature of the box.