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WikiProject Statistics
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Main page Topics Myths Contributors Adding data Templates Maintenance
Current Asphalt Nitro
drop rates[1]
70.8 %
common
26.1 %
rare
3.1 %
legendary
Current Asphalt 8
drop rates[1]
75.11 %
common
16.23 %
rare
8.66 %
legendary

Welcome to WikiProject Statistics!

The Asphalt games (in particular Asphalt 8) have introduced many features that heavily depend on chance and probabilities, but the rules and mechanisms behind those elements mostly remain secret. That's part of the game. But it's possible to find out more about those hidden rules than the game openly reveals.

Therefore, the aims of this project are:

  1. To observe and analyze random processes in the games and make predictions based on statistics, probability theory and combinatorics in order to help players plan their game strategically.[2]
  2. To verify or debunk common "myths" based on players' own observations.[2]
  3. To improve Asphalt Wiki's general coverage of statistics and related topics in order to provide a solid base for players to extend their knowledge and make their own calculations.

Every user can help us grow the project's statistical base. The Adding data page shows how.

Statistics news [Reload]
Reports
  • Most common boxes (Asphalt 8, Asphalt Nitro)
    Table sortable by card, with realistic drop rates of cards regardless of their rarity, based on the most common boxes.
  • Average card frequencies (Asphalt 8, Asphalt Nitro)
    Tables sortable by box, indicating which box grants most of a specific card.
Studies
Data contributors
Observed processes
Boxes 51,180
cards
Daily ads 3,620
ads
Daily Tasks 975
tasks
Festival Special 54
spins
Project data
Project data used on 275
pages
User contributions
processed
555
posts
User contributions
pending
84
posts
Topics
Statistics 14
articles
Probability theory 15
articles
Combinatorics 2
articles
Boxes by sample size
Icon critical Critical
Sample size < 200 cards
114
boxes
Icon warning Acceptable
Sample size >= 200 cards
46
boxes
Icon ok Good
Sample size >= 600 cards
16
boxes
Icon excellent Excellent
Sample size >= 1,000 cards
14
boxes
Boxes that need more data
Asphalt 8
Name Trials
A8Box Advanced Biker Kit Advanced Biker Kit 90
A8Box Pro League Kit Box Pro League Kit Box 90
A8Box Quality VIP Box Quality VIP Box 6
A8Box Special Offer Bike Box Special Offer: Bike Box 144
Asphalt Nitro
Name Trials
A-Class Box an A-Class Box 8
B-Class Box an B-Class Box 16
C-Class Box an C-Class Box 8
A8Box Champion Kit Box Champion Kit Box 30
D-Class Box an D-Class Box 16
A8Box Super Racer Kit Box Expert Kit Box 104
Mystery Box an Mystery Box 15
S-Class Box an S-Class Box 16
A8Box Specialist Kit Box Specialist Kit Box 105

Additional categories

Notes

  1. 1.0 1.1 Weighted average of current relative frequencies based on
    - 12,712 cards from the 10 most common boxes (Asphalt 8)
    - 774 cards from the 10 most common boxes (Asphalt Nitro)
    since the last changes.
  2. 2.0 2.1 This requires statistical data. As there is no known source providing a valid Asphalt-related statistical base, this project includes original research as far as the collection of statistical data is concerned. This is contrary to common wiki policies (cf. Wikipedia:No original research), but considered necessary due to the lack of other sources.
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