WikiProject Statistics
WikiProject Statistics
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Current Asphalt Nitro
drop rates[1]
70.22 %
common
26.41 %
rare
3.37 %
legendary
Current Asphalt Street-
storm drop rates[1]
3.91 %
orange
8.64 %
gray
5.79 %
green
4.89 %
blue
2.24 %
red

Welcome to WikiProject Statistics!

The Asphalt games (in particular Asphalt 8) have introduced many features that heavily depend on chance and probabilities, but the rules and mechanisms behind those elements mostly remain secret. That's part of the game. But it is possible to find out more about those hidden rules than the game openly reveals.

Therefore, the aims of this project are:

  1. To observe and analyze random processes in the games and make predictions based on statistics, probability theory and combinatorics in order to help players plan their game strategically.[2]
  2. To verify or debunk common "myths" based on players' own observations.[2]
  3. To improve Asphalt Wiki's general coverage of statistics and related topics in order to provide a solid base for players to extend their knowledge and make their own calculations.

Every user can help us grow the project's statistical base. The Adding data page shows how.

Statistics news [Reload]
Reports
  • Average card frequencies (Asphalt Nitro, Asphalt 8)
    Tables sortable by box, indicating which box grants most of a specific card.
Studies
Data contributors
Observed processes
Boxes 66,650
cards
Daily ads 4,210
ads
Daily Tasks 1,212
tasks
Festival Special 54
spins
Project data
Project data used on 429
pages
User contributions
processed
606
posts
User contributions
pending
112
posts
Topics
Statistics 14
articles
Probability theory 15
articles
Combinatorics 2
articles
Boxes by sample size
Icon critical.png Critical
Sample size < 200 cards
143
boxes
Icon warning.png Acceptable
Sample size >= 200 cards
49
boxes
Icon ok.png Good
Sample size >= 600 cards
24
boxes
Icon excellent.png Excellent
Sample size >= 1,000 cards
27
boxes
Boxes that need more data
Asphalt Streetstorm
Name Trials
Gold Gift Box Bugatti Chiron Gold Gift Box Bugatti Chiron 36
Gold Gift Box LaFerrari Gold Gift Box LaFerrari 30
Gold Gift Box McLaren P1 Gold Gift Box McLaren P1 36
Silver Gift Box BMW M4 GTS Silver Gift Box BMW M4 GTS 30
Silver Gift Box Mercedes-AMG GT3 Silver Gift Box Mercedes-AMG GT3 36
Silver Gift Box Porsche 911 Turbo S Silver Gift Box Porsche 911 Turbo S 9
Asphalt Nitro
Name Trials
A-Class Box A-Class Box 24
B-Class Box B-Class Box 24
C-Class Box C-Class Box 16
Champion Kit Box Champion Kit Box 30
D-Class Box D-Class Box 16
Mystery Box Mystery Box 45
S-Class Box S-Class Box 32
Specialist Kit Box Specialist Kit Box 150

Additional categories

Notes

  1. 1.0 1.1 Weighted average of current relative frequencies based on
    - 2,453 items from the 3 most common boxes (Asphalt Streetstorm)
    - 1,545 cards from the 10 most common boxes (Asphalt Nitro)
    since the last changes.
  2. 2.0 2.1 This requires statistical data. As there is no known source providing a valid Asphalt-related statistical base, this project includes original research as far as the collection of statistical data is concerned. This is contrary to common wiki policies (cf. Wikipedia:No original research), but considered necessary due to the lack of other sources.
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