- This article is about the mathematical background of daily ads rewards. For general information, see Ad.
 Daily ads rewardsMay 30, 2019 – Mar 4, 2020 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Double Credits | 0 | 0.00 % | |
| 1 Nitro Starter | 302 | 13.25 % | |
| 1 Tuning Kit | 328 | 14.39 % | |
| 1 Extra Tank | 0 | 0.00 % | |
| 1 Optimal Shuffle Box | 263 | 11.54 % | |
| 1 Optimal Split Box | 301 | 13.20 % | |
 Tokens |
474 | 20.79 % | |
 Credits |
612 | 26.84 % | |
| 1 Asterion or 150,000 |
0 | 0.00 % | |
The stochastic process Daily ads rewards is a composed experiment in Asphalt 8. It consists of 10 trials that can be conducted once per day. The timer is reset at 0:00 UTC (not player's local time). The trials are connected with the daily ads: After a player has watched an ad, the process grants one of the possible rewards.
Sample space
The changes of May 30, 2019, have removed the Season Tickets and Lamborghini Egoista Blueprint from the list of possible rewards. The sample space of all possible outcomes is now
- 1 Double Credits
- 1 Nitro Starter
- 1 Tuning Kit
- 1 Extra Tank
- 1
Optimal Shuffle Box - 1 Optimal Split Box
- 10
- 2,888
- 1 Lamborghini Asterion or 150,000 if a player already owns the car
Trials
After more than 200 trials (ads),
- it has been observed that there were days with no Credits, no Tokens, no boxes, no Tuning Kit or no Nitro Starter. There is no guarantee of getting these particular items on a single day.
- So far there have been no days without any kind of booster or any kind of currency, so it is possible that there are "grouped" guarantees of getting at least one kind of booster or one kind of currency per day.
Statistics
There are no offical drop rates for daily ads.
But as the law of large numbers states that in the long run, the average relative frequency of an event converges almost surely to its expected value (= its drop rate), conclusions can be drawn from statistical data if the sample size is big enough.
Although the sample has reached an acceptable size of 200 ads, the average frequencies still tend to oscillate due to the sample space containing many events whose number of occurences can vary. A rough oriention of approximate drop rates can be obtained from the bar chart at the top of this page.
Previous versions
| Daily ads rewards Apr 9, 2019 – May 29, 2019 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lamborghini Egoista BP | 2 | 0.39 % | |
| 1 Double Credits | 1 | 0.20 % | |
| 1 Nitro Starter | 3 | 0.59 % | |
| 1 Tuning Kit | 5 | 0.98 % | |
| 1 Extra Tank | 1 | 0.20 % | |
| 3 Season Tickets | 163 | 31.96 % | |
| 1 Optimal Shuffle Box | 103 | 20.20 % | |
| 1 Optimal Split Box | 107 | 20.98 % | |
| Tokens |
36 | 7.06 % | |
| Credits |
89 | 17.45 % | |
| 1 Asterion or 150,000 |
0 | 0.00 % | |
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See also
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The statistical data on this page is part of WikiProject Statistics. It contains original research which may be incomplete, incorrect or biased. |