Gold Gift Box Bugatti Chiron

Gold Gift Box Bugatti Chiron; (discontinued)
Official info
Last checked	Jan 12, 2021
Description	✘ Not published
Sample space	? Incomplete
Drop rates	✘ Not published
Price	600 (200 per trial)
Drop rates	-
Availability	Time-limited offer
Statistics
Period	Aug 11, 2020 – Jan 13, 2021
Sample size	36 trials (12 boxes); Critical: Sample size < 200
Mean values	111 per box; 0 per box; 33 per box
Dispersion per box
12 Blueprints by rarity
12 Blueprints by name

The Gold Gift Box Bugatti Chiron was a Chance Promo Gift Box in Asphalt Street Storm Racing with a "10x chance" of getting a Bugatti Chiron Blueprint.

Price[]

Chance Promo Boxes are always connected with a bulk price reduction. Offers observed for this box:

20 boxes for 10,000 (500 per box)

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

If the "10x chance" claim for the promoted Bugatti Chiron Blueprint was true, the probability of getting the blueprint should be around ten times that of the standard Gold Gift Box.

As of Mar 23, 2021, the standard Gold Gift Box granted the blueprint with a relative frequency of 1.60 % which corresponds with a probability of 4.79 % (sample size: 1,065 trials). Hence, the Bugatti Chiron Blueprint should have a probability of 10 ⋅ 4.79 % =

47.89 %.

Statistics[]

After 36 trials from 12 Chance Promo boxes, the Bugatti Chiron Blueprint occurred with a relative frequency of 30.56 % which means that the real probability of getting the blueprint from this box is

91.67 %.

Please note that the current sample size of 36 trials is below the "acceptable" threshold of 200 so that this value can change significantly until a larger sample size is reached (see law of large numbers).

Gold Gift Box Bugatti Chiron

Contents

Price[]

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

Statistics[]

See also[]