Gold Gift Box LaFerrari (discontinued) | |||||||||
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Official info | |||||||||
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Price | 600 (200 per trial) | ||||||||
Drop rates | - | ||||||||
Availability | Time-limited offer | ||||||||
Statistics | |||||||||
Period | Aug 20, 2020 – Dec 17, 2020 | ||||||||
Sample size | 30 trials (10 boxes) Critical: Sample size < 200 | ||||||||
Mean values | 114 per box 0 per box 50 per box | ||||||||
The Gold Gift Box LaFerrari was a Chance Promo Gift Box in Asphalt Street Storm Racing with a "10x chance" of getting a LaFerrari Blueprint.
Price[]
Chance Promo Boxes are always connected with a bulk price reduction. Offers observed for this box:
Analysis[]
Probabilities[]
If the "10x chance" claim for the promoted LaFerrari Blueprint was true, the probability of getting the blueprint should be around ten times that of the standard Gold Gift Box.
As of Mar 23, 2021, the standard Gold Gift Box granted the blueprint with a relative frequency of 1.78 % which corresponds with a probability of 5.35 % (sample size: 1,065 trials). Hence, the LaFerrari Blueprint should have a probability of 10 ⋅ 5.35 % =
- 53.52 %.
Statistics[]
After 30 trials from 10 Chance Promo boxes, the LaFerrari Blueprint occurred with a relative frequency of 30.00 % which means that the real probability of getting the blueprint from this box is
- 90 %.
Please note that the current sample size of 30 trials is below the "acceptable" threshold of 200 so that this value can change significantly until a larger sample size is reached (see law of large numbers).
See also[]
- Gold Gift Box, the standard version
The statistical data on this page is part of WikiProject Statistics. It contains original research which may be incomplete, incorrect or biased. |