Gold Gift Box McLaren F1

Gold Gift Box McLaren F1; (discontinued)
Official info
Last checked	Jan 18, 2021
Description	✘ Not published
Sample space	? Incomplete
Drop rates	✘ Not published
Price	600 (200 per trial)
Drop rates	-
Availability	Time-limited offer
Statistics
Period	Jul 21, 2020 – Jan 19, 2021
Sample size	15 trials (5 boxes); Critical: Sample size < 200
Mean values	100 per box; 0 per box; 15 per box
Dispersion per box
5 Blueprints by rarity
5 Blueprints by name

The Gold Gift Box McLaren F1 was a Chance Promo Gift Box in Asphalt Street Storm Racing with a "10x chance" of getting a McLaren F1 Blueprint.

Price[]

Chance Promo Boxes are always connected with a bulk price reduction. Offers observed for this box:

20 boxes for 9,000 (450 per box)

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

If the "10x chance" claim for the promoted McLaren F1 Blueprint was true, the probability of getting the blueprint should be around ten times that of the standard Gold Gift Box.

As of Mar 23, 2021, the standard Gold Gift Box granted the blueprint with a relative frequency of 2.35 % which corresponds with a probability of 7.04 % (sample size: 1,065 trials). Hence, the McLaren F1 Blueprint should have a probability of 10 ⋅ 7.04 % =

70.42 %.

Statistics[]

After 15 trials from 5 Chance Promo boxes, the McLaren F1 Blueprint occurred with a relative frequency of 6.67 % which means that the real probability of getting the blueprint from this box is

20 %.

Please note that the current sample size of 15 trials is below the "acceptable" threshold of 200 so that this value can change significantly until a larger sample size is reached (see law of large numbers).

Gold Gift Box McLaren F1

Contents

Price[]

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

Statistics[]

See also[]

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