Gold Gift Box Porsche 911 GT3 RS

Gold Gift Box Porsche 911 GT3 RS; (discontinued)
Official info
Last checked	Oct 24, 2020
Description	✘ Not published
Sample space	? Incomplete
Drop rates	✘ Not published
Price	600 (200 per trial)
Drop rates	-
Availability	Time-limited offer
Statistics
Period	Sep 1, 2020 – Sep 1, 2020
Sample size	3 trials (1 box); Critical: Sample size < 200
Mean values	172 per box; 0 per box; 100 per box
Dispersion per box
1 Blueprint by rarity
1 Blueprint by name

The Gold Gift Box Porsche 911 GT3 RS was a Chance Promo Gift Box in Asphalt Street Storm Racing with a "10x chance" of getting a Porsche 911 GT3 RS Blueprint.

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

If the "10x chance" claim for the promoted Porsche 911 GT3 RS Blueprint was true, the probability of getting the blueprint should be around ten times that of the standard Gold Gift Box.

As of Mar 23, 2021, the standard Gold Gift Box granted the blueprint with a relative frequency of 2.16 % which corresponds with a probability of 6.48 % (sample size: 1,065 trials). Hence, the Porsche 911 GT3 RS Blueprint should have a probability of 10 ⋅ 6.48 % =

64.79 %.

Statistics[]

After 3 trials from 1 Chance Promo box, the Porsche 911 GT3 RS Blueprint occurred with a relative frequency of 33.33 % which means that the real probability of getting the blueprint from this box is

100 %.

Please note that the current sample size of 3 trials is below the "acceptable" threshold of 200 so that this value can change significantly until a larger sample size is reached (see law of large numbers).

Gold Gift Box Porsche 911 GT3 RS

Contents

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

Statistics[]

See also[]

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