Gold Gift Box Porsche 918 Spyder

Gold Gift Box Porsche 918 Spyder; (discontinued)
Official info
Last checked	Jan 7, 2021
Description	✘ Not published
Sample space	? Incomplete
Drop rates	✘ Not published
Price	600 (200 per trial)
Drop rates	-
Availability	Time-limited offer
Statistics
Period	Aug 6, 2020 – Jan 7, 2021
Sample size	39 trials (13 boxes); Critical: Sample size < 200
Mean values	123 per box; 3,077 per box; 37 per box
Dispersion per box
13 Blueprints by rarity
13 Blueprints by name

The Gold Gift Box Porsche 918 Spyder was a Chance Promo Gift Box in Asphalt Street Storm Racing with a "10x chance" of getting a Porsche 918 Spyder Blueprint.

Price[]

Chance Promo Boxes are always connected with a bulk price reduction. Offers observed for this box:

10 boxes for 2,999 (300 per box)

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

If the "10x chance" claim for the promoted Porsche 918 Spyder Blueprint was true, the probability of getting the blueprint should be around ten times that of the standard Gold Gift Box.

As of Mar 23, 2021, the standard Gold Gift Box granted the blueprint with a relative frequency of 1.31 % which corresponds with a probability of 3.94 % (sample size: 1,065 trials). Hence, the Porsche 918 Spyder Blueprint should have a probability of 10 ⋅ 3.94 % =

39.44 %.

Statistics[]

After 39 trials from 13 Chance Promo boxes, the Porsche 918 Spyder Blueprint occurred with a relative frequency of 33.33 % which means that the real probability of getting the blueprint from this box is

100 %.

Please note that the current sample size of 39 trials is below the "acceptable" threshold of 200 so that this value can change significantly until a larger sample size is reached (see law of large numbers).

Gold Gift Box Porsche 918 Spyder

Contents

Price[]

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

Statistics[]

See also[]

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