Silver Gift Box Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution VIII FQ-400 MR

Silver Gift Box Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution VIII FQ-400 MR (discontinued)
Official info
Last checked Jan 14, 2021 Description ✘ Not published Sample space ? Incomplete Drop rates ✘ Not published
Price	250  (83.33  per trial)
Drop rates	-
Availability	Time-limited offer
Statistics
Period	Aug 13, 2020 – Jan 14, 2021
Sample size	36 trials (12 boxes)  Critical: Sample size < 200
Mean values	90  per box 9,583  per box 0  per box
Subscribers 12 33.33 %   Cash 4 11.11 %   Diamonds 0 0.00 %   Boosts 1 2.78 %   Blueprints 12 33.33 %   Paints 2 5.56 %   Decals 3 8.33 %   Underglows 2 5.56 %
Dispersion per box min–max Mean 0 Range 3 Subscribers 1–1 1.00 Cash 0–1 0.33 Diamonds 0–0 0.00 Boosts 0–1 0.08 Blueprints 1–1 1.00 Paints 0–1 0.17 Decals 0–1 0.25 Underglows 0–1 0.17
12 Blueprints by rarity Orange 0 0.00 %   Gray 1 2.78 %   Green 8 22.22 %   Blue 3 8.33 %   Red 0 0.00 %
12 Blueprints by name Acura NSX 0 0.00 %   Aston Martin Vulcan 0 0.00 %   BMW M2 Coupé 1 2.78 %   BMW M4 GTS 0 0.00 %   Bugatti Chiron 0 0.00 %   Chevrolet Camaro GS 0 0.00 %   Chevrolet Camaro LT 0 0.00 %   Equus Bass 770 0 0.00 %   Ferrari 488 GTB 0 0.00 %   Ferrari 812 Superfast 0 0.00 %   Ford GT 0 0.00 %   LaFerrari 0 0.00 %   Lamborghini Egoista 0 0.00 %   Lamborghini Veneno 0 0.00 %   McLaren F1 1 2.78 %   McLaren P1 0 0.00 %   Mercedes-AMG GT3 0 0.00 %   Mercedes-AMG S 65 0 0.00 %   Mercedes-Benz SLR 0 0.00 %   Mitsubishi Lancer 8 22.22 %   Nissan Skyline GT-R 0 0.00 %   Pagani Huayra BC 0 0.00 %   Pontiac Firebird 0 0.00 %   Porsche 718 Cayman S 0 0.00 %   Porsche 911 GT3 RS 0 0.00 %   Porsche 911 Turbo S 0 0.00 %   Porsche 918 Spyder 0 0.00 %   Renault Clio R.S. 16 0 0.00 %   Renault Clio R.S. 220 0 0.00 %   Viper ACR 2 5.56 %   W Motors Fenyr 0 0.00 %   W Motors Lykan 0 0.00 %

The Silver Gift Box Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution VIII FQ-400 MR was a Chance Promo Gift Box in Asphalt Street Storm Racing with a "10x chance" of getting a Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution VIII FQ-400 MR Blueprint.

Price

Chance Promo Boxes are always connected with a bulk price reduction. Offers observed for this box:

• 10 boxes for 1,999  (200  per box)

Analysis

Probabilities

If the "10x chance" claim for the promoted Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution VIII FQ-400 MR Blueprint was true, the probability of getting the blueprint should be around ten times that of the standard Silver Gift Box.

As of Mar 23, 2021, the standard Silver Gift Box granted the blueprint with a relative frequency of 3.11 % which corresponds with a probability of 9.34 % (sample size: 1,671 trials). Hence, the Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution VIII FQ-400 MR Blueprint should have a probability of 10 ⋅ 9.34 % =

93.36 %.

Statistics

After 36 trials from 12 Chance Promo boxes, the Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution VIII FQ-400 MR Blueprint occurred with a relative frequency of 22.22 % which means that the real probability of getting the blueprint from this box is

66.67 %.

Please note that the current sample size of 36 trials is below the "acceptable" threshold of 200 so that this value can change significantly until a larger sample size is reached (see law of large numbers).

See also

• Silver Gift Box, the standard version

The statistical data on this page is part of WikiProject Statistics. It contains original research which may be incomplete, incorrect or biased.