Silver Gift Box Pontiac Firebird Trans Am SD-455

Silver Gift Box Pontiac Firebird Trans Am SD-455 (discontinued)
Official info
Last checked Jan 5, 2021 Description ✘ Not published Sample space ? Incomplete Drop rates ✘ Not published
Price	250  (83.33  per trial)
Drop rates	-
Availability	Time-limited offer
Statistics
Period	Aug 5, 2020 – Jan 5, 2021
Sample size	24 trials (8 boxes)  Critical: Sample size < 200
Mean values	73  per box 0  per box 25  per box
Subscribers 8 33.33 %   Cash 0 0.00 %   Diamonds 2 8.33 %   Boosts 1 4.17 %   Blueprints 8 33.33 %   Paints 0 0.00 %   Decals 3 12.50 %   Underglows 2 8.33 %
Dispersion per box min–max Mean 0 Range 3 Subscribers 1–1 1.00 Cash 0–0 0.00 Diamonds 0–1 0.25 Boosts 0–1 0.13 Blueprints 1–1 1.00 Paints 0–0 0.00 Decals 0–1 0.38 Underglows 0–1 0.25
8 Blueprints by rarity Orange 0 0.00 %   Gray 8 33.33 %   Green 0 0.00 %   Blue 0 0.00 %   Red 0 0.00 %
8 Blueprints by name Acura NSX 0 0.00 %   Aston Martin Vulcan 0 0.00 %   BMW M2 Coupé 0 0.00 %   BMW M4 GTS 0 0.00 %   Bugatti Chiron 0 0.00 %   Chevrolet Camaro GS 0 0.00 %   Chevrolet Camaro LT 0 0.00 %   Equus Bass 770 0 0.00 %   Ferrari 488 GTB 0 0.00 %   Ferrari 812 Superfast 0 0.00 %   Ford GT 0 0.00 %   LaFerrari 0 0.00 %   Lamborghini Egoista 0 0.00 %   Lamborghini Veneno 0 0.00 %   McLaren F1 0 0.00 %   McLaren P1 0 0.00 %   Mercedes-AMG GT3 0 0.00 %   Mercedes-AMG S 65 0 0.00 %   Mercedes-Benz SLR 0 0.00 %   Mitsubishi Lancer 0 0.00 %   Nissan Skyline GT-R 0 0.00 %   Pagani Huayra BC 0 0.00 %   Pontiac Firebird 8 33.33 %   Porsche 718 Cayman S 0 0.00 %   Porsche 911 GT3 RS 0 0.00 %   Porsche 911 Turbo S 0 0.00 %   Porsche 918 Spyder 0 0.00 %   Renault Clio R.S. 16 0 0.00 %   Renault Clio R.S. 220 0 0.00 %   Viper ACR 0 0.00 %   W Motors Fenyr 0 0.00 %   W Motors Lykan 0 0.00 %

The Silver Gift Box Pontiac Firebird Trans Am SD-455 was a Chance Promo Gift Box in Asphalt Street Storm Racing with a "10x chance" of getting a Pontiac Firebird Trans Am SD-455 Blueprint.

Price

Chance Promo Boxes are always connected with a bulk price reduction. Offers observed for this box:

• 10 boxes for 1,999  (200  per box)

Analysis

Probabilities

If the "10x chance" claim for the promoted Pontiac Firebird Trans Am SD-455 Blueprint was true, the probability of getting the blueprint should be around ten times that of the standard Silver Gift Box.

As of Mar 23, 2021, the standard Silver Gift Box granted the blueprint with a relative frequency of 4.01 % which corresponds with a probability of 12.03 % (sample size: 1,671 trials). Hence, the Pontiac Firebird Trans Am SD-455 Blueprint should have a probability of 10 ⋅ 12.03 % = 120.29 % which is even more than

100 %.

Statistics

After 24 trials from 8 Chance Promo boxes, the Pontiac Firebird Trans Am SD-455 Blueprint occurred with a relative frequency of 33.33 % which means that the real probability of getting the blueprint from this box is

100 %.

Please note that the current sample size of 24 trials is below the "acceptable" threshold of 200 so that this value can change significantly until a larger sample size is reached (see law of large numbers).

See also

• Silver Gift Box, the standard version

The statistical data on this page is part of WikiProject Statistics. It contains original research which may be incomplete, incorrect or biased.