Silver Gift Box Porsche 718 Cayman S

Silver Gift Box Porsche 718 Cayman S; (discontinued)
Official info
Last checked	Dec 24, 2020
Description	✘ Not published
Sample space	? Incomplete
Drop rates	✘ Not published
Price	250 (83.33 per trial)
Drop rates	-
Availability	Time-limited offer
Statistics
Period	Jul 23, 2020 – Dec 24, 2020
Sample size	21 trials (7 boxes); Critical: Sample size < 200
Mean values	65 per box; 0 per box; 0 per box
Dispersion per box
7 Blueprints by rarity
7 Blueprints by name

The Silver Gift Box Porsche 718 Cayman S was a Chance Promo Gift Box in Asphalt Street Storm Racing with a "10x chance" of getting a Porsche 718 Cayman S Blueprint.

Price[]

Chance Promo Boxes are always connected with a bulk price reduction. Offers observed for this box:

10 boxes for 2,000 (200 per box)

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

If the "10x chance" claim for the promoted Porsche 718 Cayman S Blueprint was true, the probability of getting the blueprint should be around ten times that of the standard Silver Gift Box.

As of Mar 23, 2021, the standard Silver Gift Box granted the blueprint with a relative frequency of 2.51 % which corresponds with a probability of 7.54 % (sample size: 1,671 trials). Hence, the Porsche 718 Cayman S Blueprint should have a probability of 10 ⋅ 7.54 % =

75.4 %.

Statistics[]

After 21 trials from 7 Chance Promo boxes, the Porsche 718 Cayman S Blueprint occurred with a relative frequency of 33.33 % which means that the real probability of getting the blueprint from this box is

100 %.

Please note that the current sample size of 21 trials is below the "acceptable" threshold of 200 so that this value can change significantly until a larger sample size is reached (see law of large numbers).

Silver Gift Box Porsche 718 Cayman S

Contents

Price[]

Analysis[]

Probabilities[]

Statistics[]

See also[]

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